dimanche 30 avril 2017

US thermal coal exports targeted by campaigning BC premier

The premier of British Columbia, Canada, has proposed a ban on the export of U.S. thermal coal from its ports in retaliation for the recent imposition of a 20% tariff on Canadian softwood lumber imports.

Christy Clark, who is in the throes of an election campaign that ends with a vote on May 9, said she wrote a letter to Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to encourage the ban on U.S. thermal coal.

"Essentially, what this does is it wipes out the last remaining option for U.S. coal exporters to get their products off the northwest coast to Asia"

“We had an obligation to be good trading partners with our trading partners in the United States,” she told reporters at campaign stop last Wednesday in Surrey, just outside Vancouver. “They are no longer good trading partners with Canada. So that means we’re free to ban filthy thermal coal from B.C. ports, and I hope the federal government will support us in doing that.”

A provincial premier does not have the power to effect trade through ports, which are a federal responsibility. However, the suggestion is likely to vetted through the most senior levels of Canadian government. The Prime Minister's Office issued a non-committal response to Clark's suggestion, saying only that “We consider carefully and seriously any request from a premier.” Clark, who is seeking a second term in office as B.C. premier, later said that B.C. could "go it alone" if the feds fail to act, such as imposing a heavy tax on coal shipments.

The Trump Administration levied the duties – which average 20% – on softwood lumber last Tuesday, re-igniting a trade war on a file that has been simmering for decades. The two countries have different systems of setting the rates for cutting timber, known as stumpage fees. The Americans have argued that Canada sets its rates too low, and that Canadian lumber is effectively subsidized, thus putting U.S. lumber firms at a disadvantage because it is exported to the U.S. at a lower price.

Both forestry and coal are crucial to the provincial economy. Almost $5 billion in softwood lumber is exported to the U.S. every year, and coal is B.C.'s largest export commodity, although most coal mined in B.C. is metallurgical, used in steelmaking.

According to Clark's letter, 6.2 million tonnes of U.S. thermal coal was exported through the Port of Vancouver. Port stats show the number is actually an annual 6.6 million, 94% of which is U.S. thermal coal.

A spokesman for an energy think tank in Seattle explained that the U.S. coal industry "has fought unsuccessfully for years to expand export capacity on the American West Coast, meaning virtually all thermal coal in the western U.S. travels through B.C.," the Canadian Press reported.

"Essentially, what this does is it wipes out the last remaining option for U.S. coal exporters to get their products off the northwest coast to Asia," CP quoted Williams-Derry of the Sightline Institute. "If this goes through, it pretty much puts the kibosh on any export potential for the future."

Clark also tied her proposed thermal coal ban with her Liberal government's plans to build liquefied natural gas plants in northern B.C. and export the fuel to Asia. She said a ban on U.S. thermal coal shipments would help develop the nascent B.C. LNG industry, arguing that if China shifted from coal to natural gas if would have a "a massive impact" on greenhouse gas emissions, according to Canadian Press, carried in a Huffington Post report.

"[Thermal coal] fouls the air. It fouls the oceans. It's terrible for the environment," she said last week at a paper products company in Surrey.

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ERP Strategic Minerals makes bid to re-open Mountain Pass

The United States' only rare earths mine could be back in business if a bid to purchase the shuttered operation through bankruptcy proceedings is successful.

Last week ERP Strategic Minerals, LLC announced that it has been selected as the "stalking horse bidder" by the Chapter 11 trustee for Molycorp Minerals LLC, a unit of Molycorp, which operated the mine in San Bernadino County, California, before closing it in 2015 due to low rare earths prices.

A stalking horse bidder is the first bidder to make a bid out of a bankruptcy.

"This is a complex venture which requires the skills of a reputable, high-quality team with best-in-class technical expertise in the mining sector": ERP Strategic Minerals CEO Tom Clarke

In a press release, ERP, which is part of the Virginia-based ERP Group of Companies, said it is working with Pala Investments Limited, a Swiss-based company focused on mining and metals, and Peak Resources Ltd., (ASX:PEK) an Australian firm, which is developing a rare earths mine in Tanzania, to bring the mine back into operation. "The consortium would provide financial, technical and operational support, to ERP for the restart and operation of the Mountain Pass mine, subject to applicable regulatory approvals and finalization and closing of mutually acceptable arrangements," states the release.

Russian-born billionaire Vladimir Iorich established Pala Investments in 2007, which was part of a buyout group bidding for the mine's assets, the Wall Street Journal reported in February.

ERP says it will work with the County of San Bernardino, California state agencies and other regulatory bodies to complete any technical studies needed for a re-start. The company has also offered to buy mineral rights and additional equipment.

"Our goal is to return the Mountain Pass mine and mineral processing operation into a viable, sustainable and environmentally responsible business in the County of San Bernardino. We have a strong track record of restarting mines acquired out of US bankruptcy and Canadian CCAA situations," said ERP CEO Tom Clarke, adding: "This is a complex venture which requires the skills of a reputable, high-quality team with best-in-class technical expertise in the mining sector."

Restarting the facility will require remediating mildly radioactive wastewater and dust from the site, according to court records quoted by Law360.

The opening bid by ERP does not mean that it will be the winner. The stalking horse bid still has to be approved by a Delaware bankruptcy court, with a hearing set for June 23. Other bids can be entertained up to June 2 and an auction is expected to occur on June 6.

Mountain Pass was the only rare earths mine operating in the United States, before it went bankrupt in 2015 – a victim of low rare earth oxide prices. At the time Molycorp listed $1.7 billion in debt. Through bankruptcy proceedings Molycorp was restructured, allowing it to receive $130 million in debt financing.

The Greenwood, Colorado- based company then moved Mountain Pass into care and maintenance, while continuing to serve customers through its production facilities in Estonia and China.

Mountain Pass was expected to be America’s flagship source of rare earths. In 2010 Molycorp sensed an opportunity to capitalize on reduced rare earth oxide exports from China – which supplies about 90 percent of the world's rare earth minerals – which had caused the prices of REOs to spike. When China subsequently relaxed export rules, however, prices fell, leaving Molycorp to pay the bill for a $1.25 billion state-of-the-art processing facility.

Hit by lower rare earth prices, Molycorp warned it might not have enough money to remain in business. Three months later, it filed for chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.

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Science décalée : les esprits ouverts auraient plus de talents musicaux

Travailler son instrument, c’est essentiel pour devenir un musicien accompli. Mais d’après des chercheurs en psychologie, la personnalité, et plus particulièrement l’ouverture d’esprit, jouerait aussi un rôle dans les capacités musicales.

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Un rite mystérieux chez les chimpanzés

En Afrique de l’ouest, et seulement là, des chimpanzés ont une drôle d’habitude : ils jettent de lourdes pierres contre un arbre, toujours le même. La signification de ce comportement est énigmatique. Les découvreurs, qui l'ont décrit en 2016, pensent qu’il est peut-être de la même nature que...

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Le mystère des rayures de zèbre expliqué ?

Les rayures du zèbre ne gênent pas vraiment ses prédateurs, affirment des chercheurs qui ont simulé la vision qu’en ont les lions ou les hyènes en plein jour et au crépuscule. De quoi repousser une hypothèse plus que centenaire. Les autres restent en lice. Comme il y a un siècle.

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samedi 29 avril 2017

Le top 10 des découvertes de New Horizons autour de Pluton

Un an après son survol historique de Pluton, le 14 juillet 2015, la sonde New Horizons méritait ce bilan, en forme de tour d'horizon de ses plus belles découvertes. Aujourd'hui, le petit vaisseau poursuit sa route à vive allure en direction d’un autre objet de la ceinture de Kuiper, bien...

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Quand Cassini découvrait le satellite Daphnis dans les anneaux de Saturne

Le premier mai 2005, la sonde Cassini, fraîchement arrivée dans le monde de Saturne, étudiait la division de Keeler, à l'intérieur de l'anneau A. Les scientifiques y suspectaient la présence d'une petite lune, qui aurait balayé son orbite mais n'avaient pu la discerner depuis la Terre. L'engin...

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Quand les protons disparaîtront-ils de l'univers ?

Des théories proposées depuis les années 1970 pour unifier les forces de la nature prédisent que le proton est instable. Un jour, tous les noyaux de l’univers observable n’existeront donc plus si l’une de ces théories est exacte. On cherche à vérifier cette prédiction avec des expériences...

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Un utérus artificiel pour grands prématurés réussit son premier test

Au cours des dernières décennies, d'importants progrès ont été réalisés pour améliorer la survie des grands prématurés, mais ces bébés très fragiles risquent toujours des complications. Une expérience réalisée sur des agneaux montre l’efficacité d’un dispositif d’utérus artificiel pour...

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Fake news : le fondateur de Wikipédia veut les combattre avec Wikitribune

Jimmy Wales, le fondateur de l'encyclopédie en ligne Wikipédia, lance une nouvelle initiative pour combattre les fausses informations (« fake news » en anglais) qui pullulent sur Internet. Avec Wikitribune, il entend réunir des journalistes professionnels et des internautes pour vérifier les...

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L'évolution des espèces accélère-t-elle quand le climat se refroidit ?

À l’aide d’un nouveau modèle d’évolution phénotypique, des chercheurs ont évalué, sur une période de 80 millions d’années, l’évolution de la taille de mammifères et oiseaux en fonction de la température. Contre toute attente, ils ont constaté que le taux d’évolution de la masse corporelle des...

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vendredi 28 avril 2017

Iron ore price rebounds

The Northern China import price of 62% Fe content ore enjoyed another day of solid gains on Friday to trade up 2.1% at $68.00 per dry metric tonne according to data supplied by The Steel Index. Higher grade iron ore with 65% iron ore content topped $80 a tonne for the first time in two weeks.

Iron ore price reboundsIron ore has recovered 10.6% in value since hitting five-month lows earlier this month and the steelmaking raw material is still trading in positive territory compared to this time last year. The recovery comes on the back of higher steel prices in China which consumes nearly three-quarters of the world's seaborne ore.

Iron ore's fightback comes despite dire predictions for the price outlook.

In a report released this week BMI Research forecasts prices are entering a multi-year slump, averaging lower each year through to 2021. The forecasters expect the commodity to average $70 a tonne this year (year-to-date the average price is just under $82), $55 in 2018, and decline to $46 by 2021, on rising supplies from Australia and Brazil.

On the demand side stockpiles in China has been a major factor behind iron ore's slide from near triple digits in February. According to this week's Umetal's survey of the 42 largest ports in China, total iron ore inventories have stayed near record highs at more than 132 million tonnes.

Elevated stocks have not dampened importer enthusiasm however with total imports for the first quarter climbing 12% to 271 million tonnes after the second highest cargo volumes recorded in March of 95.6m tonnes.

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Anglo American to resume operations at El Soldado mine in Chile

Anglo American (LON:ALL) is ready to resume production at its El Soldado copper mine in Chile after authorities approved a new permit plan for the operation, which has been halted since February.

Chilean regulators had rejected an initial redesign of the mine on concerns of potential for collapse where the project crossed former underground operations, but found the new one to be satisfactory, the company said in a statement (in Spanish).

As a result, Anglo American said it would immediately adopt the necessary measures to operate the mine “as soon as possible."

The company had warned it would evaluate options for its majority-owned mine, including walking away form it, if it didn’t receive the necessary permits.

The mine, part of the Anglo American Sur complex, produced 47,000 tonnes of copper last year. Chile's Codelco, as well as Japanese Mitsubishi and Mitsui also hold stakes in the operation.

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Les bébés de la baleine à bosse chuchotent pour éviter les prédateurs

Les baleines à bosse adultes peuvent être très bruyantes. Les petits, quant à eux, peuvent se montrer très discrets. Il est question surtout pour eux de ne pas se faire remarquer par des prédateurs et aussi que leur mère ne soit pas courtisée par un mâle qui passerait par là… Les chercheurs qui...

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Cette étrange créature nous en dit long sur l'origine des insectes et des crustacés

Découvert dans les fameux schistes de Burgess, un arthropode fossile étrange, avec un blindage et deux pinces coupantes, nous éclaire sur l'origine des crustacés et de insectes. Comme eux, il possède des mandibules. De quoi mieux comprendre l'étonnante diversification qui s'est déroulée dans les...

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Stellar Diamonds jumps on Tongo-Tonguma tribute mining agreement

Shares in West Africa-focused Stellar Diamonds (LON:STEL) were up more than 7% Friday after the company announced it had signed a tribute mining and revenue share agreement with junior Octea Mining for the Tongo-Tonguma diamond project in eastern Sierra Leone.

The deal, which will allow for mining the combined and contiguous Tongo and Tonguma concessions, creates one of the largest diamond mines in West Africa.

The deal creates one of the largest diamond mines in West Africa.

“These agreements with Octea . . . will allow Stellar to build a single mine for the simultaneous commercial production from the contiguous Tongo and Tonguma kimberlite deposits,” Stellar CEO Karl Smithson said in the statement.

Capital expenditure development at the mines is estimated at $32 million in the first two years, Stellar said, adding that the combined project has projected 21-year mine life, producing over 4.5 million carats, with full production to generate $45 million in gross revenue a year.

Octea will continue to hold the Tonguma mining licence and Stellar will continue to own its adjacent Tongo licence and subsidiary company Sierra Diamonds.

Stellar will also have ownership over certain infrastructure and capital items procured for and used at the mine development on both licences.

After spiking in early trading on the news, the company stock was slightly lower, but still up 3.9% to 5.32 pence at 3:03PM GMT.

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Norilsk Nickel sues Botswana over thwarted mine stake deal

Russia’s Norilsk Nickel is suing the government of Botswana in an attempt to recover about $271 million it lost when a state-backed mining company walked away from a deal to buy its stake in a South African mine last year.

Move comes as Botswana's state-run BCL Group pulled out a deal to acquire 50% of Norilsk’s Nkomati nickel mine, in South Africa.

In 2014, Botswana's state-run BCL Group agreed to buy 50% of the Nkomati nickel mine and 85% of Tati Nickel Mining Co., located in Botswana, from Norilsk Nickel, which is one of the world’s biggest producers of the metal, for $337 million. But in October last year, BCL pulled out of the deal, citing lack of funds.

The Russian miner claims that since BCL has historically relied on financial support from the government of Bostwana to survive and, in view of the state-own firm’s financial position, it was clear that “most if not all of the funding for the Nkomati deal would have to come from or be guaranteed by the government,” Norilsk Nickel Africa CEO Michael Marriott said in a statement.

"The government has displayed a complete disregard for the fair, frank and reasonable dealing with outsiders which BCL's insolvent circumstances demanded," Marriott added.

Norilsk had filed a previous lawsuit in December 2016 against BCL, claiming the group had failed to honour its obligations under the sale agreement.

The outcome of this legal battle may change the positive perception investors have of Botswana.  The latest survey by Canadian think-tank Fraser Institute ranked the country as the top mining investment destination in Africa, and 12th of 104 governments globally for the stability of its policies. The country was placed behind only Western Australia on regulatory certainty.

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BHP Billiton in 'advanced' talks to sell Cerro Colorado copper mine in Chile

BHP Billiton (ASX:BHP) (LON:BLT) is holding talks with “several” potential buyers for its Cerro Colorado mine, one of its smaller Chilean copper operations, which the mining giant put on the chopping block in February, the head of the union said.

According to leader Marcelo Franco, the company has officially informed workers of its plans to offload the mine, located in the country’s copper-rich north, adding that management has already received expressions of interest from numerous parties, Minería Chilena reported (in Spanish).

"(BHP) said there are several firms interested in the mine, but the processit could last months," added Franco, noting that he did not know the identity of the interested parties.

From the 5.5 million tonnes of copper top producer Chile generated last year, Cerro Colorado contributed 74,000 tonnes. The operation, part of BHP’s Pampa Norte division, is estimated to run out of ore by 2023.

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Google a développé une app qui permet d’améliorer les photos de nuit

Un chercheur de Google a développé une application mobile pour Android qui permet de prendre des photos nocturnes d'aussi bonne qualité qu'un appareil photo reflex numérique. Une prouesse technique qui vise à démontrer l’importance de l’optimisation logicielle dans le traitement de l’image.

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Mission humaine vers Mars : Trump veut y aller avant 2024, 10 ans avant les plans de la Nasa

Donald Trump ne manque pas d’ambitions spatiales. Bien que le Congrès des États-Unis ait adopté un texte de loi fixant à l'horizon de la décennie 2030 une mission habitée à destination de Mars, le président veut des Américains sur Mars, bien avant cette date…, de préférence avant la fin de...

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Arrivée des premiers Hommes en Amérique du Nord : la découverte qui remet tout en cause

Aussi incroyable que cela puisse paraître, l’Homme aurait été déjà présent en Amérique, du moins près de la côte californienne, il y a environ 130.000 ans. Jusqu’à présent, les recherches avançaient prudemment les chiffres de 13.000, voire 14.000 ans pour l’arrivée des premiers colons. Ce sont...

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jeudi 27 avril 2017

Top 5 des plus grosses météorites qui ont frappé la Terre

Nos ancêtres les Gaulois craignaient que le ciel leur tombe sur la tête. Une crainte peut-être pas si folle que ça au regard de l’inventaire des météorites qui ont frappé notre Terre au fil des millénaires.

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AngloGold halts work at giant Colombian project

World number three gold mining company AngloGold Ashanti (NYSE:AU) is halting plans to develop its $2 billion La Colosa project in Colombia after voters in a referendum held in the central Tolima region opted for a ban.

AngloGold has been advancing the project for 14 years and La Colosa had the potential to become on of the largest gold mines in the world with the deposit boasting proven and probable reserves of 25.4 million ounces ranking it in the top ten gold deposits in the world. The Johannesburg-based company said it had to stop all exploration work until "there's certainty about mining activity in the country and Tolima".

According to Reuters AngloGold has invested roughly $900 million in Colombia over the past decade and La Colosa was the largest of its three projects in the country:

The Tolima vote was made possible by a Constitutional Court decision that overturned the national government's sole authority to approve mining projects, allowing mayors and provincial governors to challenge exploration permits, to the delight of environmental groups and some politicians.

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Goldcorp shares slide after drop in output

Shares in Goldcorp Inc (NYSE:GG)(TSX:G) dropped sharply Thursday after the company reported first quarter results that surprised to the upside in terms of profits, but fell well short of expectations for gold production.

Vancouver-based Goldcorp ended the day more than 5% lower in New York for a market capitalization of $11.8 billion after reporting a 122% jump in earnings to $170m or $0.20 per share against forecasts of $0.08.

Investors were unhappy about the fall in gold production however with output going from 799koz during Q1 2016 to 646koz in the same period this year leading to 6.6% fall in revenues for the quarter to $882 million.

The output drop came mainly on the back of lower production at Cerro Negro in Argentina and the Red Lake mine in Ontario, Canada. The world's number four gold miner in terms of output kept its outlook for the year the same despite the decline. Full year 2017 gold production of roughly 2.5 million ounces is forecast.

Total cash costs on a by-product basis for the first quarter of 2017 were $540 per ounce, compared to $557 per ounce for the first quarter of 2016.  All-in sustaining capital costs for the first quarter of 2017 were $800 per ounce, compared to $836 per ounce in the first quarter of 2016.   AISC of approximately $850 per ounce is forecast for the whole of 2017.

David Garofalo, President and Chief Executive Officer, commented that the company boasts "the strongest growth pipeline in the gold industry with the planned 60 million ounce joint venture in the Maricunga District in Chile, financed by the sale of non-core assets."

"This transaction underlies our strategy of growing net asset value per share by delivering three to four million ounces of sustainable, annual gold production from six to eight core camps," he said.

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CHART: Behavioural finance points to $1,050 gold price

Frankfurt-based sentix, a leader in the emerging field of behavioural finance, has been compiling sentiment indices since 2001 by surveying more than 4,500 institutional and private investors.

The latest reading of the sentix index of economic expectations spells trouble for the gold price.

Capital Economics, a London-based researcher, in a research note points to this graph to provide support for its prediction that the gold price would be trading at $1,050 an ounce by the end of the year:

The recent rally in the price of gold appears to have been driven by safe-haven buying, as evident from the close relationship between the price of the yellow metal and the Japanese yen, another safe-haven asset. Heightened geopolitical tensions, the triggering of Article 50 in the UK and concerns about the rise of anti-EU parties in the euro-zone have boosted investor interest in gold.

We acknowledge that political tensions could periodically support the price of gold this year. However, we doubt that any gains can be sustained given the prospect of rising US interest rates and the associated appreciation of the dollar that we project. Indeed, we forecast that the price of gold will fall to $1,050 per ounce by end-2017. This appears consistent with market expectations for global economic activity.

CHART: Behavioural finance points to $1,050 gold price

Source: Capital Economics

In a blog post published last week sentix gold sentiment survey among 1,100 retail and institutional investors showed positive sentiment towards gold reaching its highest point for 2017, and the best level since July last year.

Sentix also ascribes the gold bullishness to safe haven buying, but warns that that "overheated" positive sentiment is a contrarian indicator and when greed tops fear in a market to this extent it leads to corrections or top-level forming.

The survey was conducted between 13 and 15 April when gold hit a five-month high within shouting distance of $1,300 an ounce. Late on Thursday, gold for delivery in June was exchanging hands for $1,265 an ounce, down slightly from Wednesday's close.

CHART: Behavioural finance points to $1,050 gold price

Source: sentix

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Newfoundland’s champion moves towards gold production – Maritime Resources Corp.

Current Price: C$0.13
Shares Outstanding: 59.0 million
Market Capitalization: C$7.7 million
52-Week Range: C$0.115-C$0.31
Cash: ~C$0.5 million
Total Liabilities: ~C$0.5 million

The hottest province for mining exploration is not Ontario, Quebec, or even the Yukon. It is actually Newfoundland, where a staking rush has quietly taken over the province.

Newfoundlands champion moves towards gold production - graph

Until now, Newfoundland has largely been overlooked, but definitely not for its geology. Much of the island was simply inaccessible, accompanied by an archaic concession system that locked up much of the land until the 1980s.

Most of the roads in Newfoundland was limited to the coastal areas where the majority of the population lived. This is true with the railroad as well, built in the late 1800s, it followed the coast with the occasional cut across a peninsula where it was easier to build.

The Reid Newfoundland Company, founded by Sir Robert Gillespie Reid of Scotland, built Newfoundland’s railroad in 1890. As a condition of operating the Railway, Reid was compensated with 5,000 acres of Crown Land per mile operated. In 1896, Reid was commissioned to build another railway, and similar to the first contract, was compensated 5,000 acres of land for every mile he built.

The railway opened up vast tracts of land, spurring interest in Newfoundland’s natural resources. Reid was the primary benefactor, eventually owning 4,160,000 acres, including the timber, mineral and surface rights. These “Reid Lots” were akin to modern day patented claims, and made the Reid Newfoundland Company the largest landowners in the province. He became a pulp and paper, as well as mining tycoon.

Until the mid-1970s, the Newfoundland concession system granted companies large areas of land that included exclusivity. Companies can only explore so much, thus, the majority of the land under the concession system remained untouched and unexplored.

It was not until the mid-1980s the last of the concessions was finally released, including the “Reid Lots”, which were taxed away or converted to claims with the other concessions. With such a small group holding onto the majority of the prospective land for decades, its no wonder Newfoundland remained under-explored through the various gold cycles.

Richmont Mines – Leaving A Lot Of Gold Behind

In May 1995, Richmont Mines (TSE:RIC, Mkt Cap: C$695.9M) made its foray into Newfoundland, first acquiring a 60% interest in the Nugget Pond gold project, then the remaining 40% in January 1996 after spending $3 million in development work. The Nugget Pond gold mine is located on the Baie Verte Peninsula of Newfoundland, spanning 4,900 acres. On December 31, 1995, the ore reserves totaled 430,000 tons at a grade of 10.5 g/t.

 

Newfoundlands champion moves towards gold production - the Nugget Pond

(Source: Rambler Metals)

 

Nugget Pond began commercial production in April 1997, and produced a total of 168,748 ounces, depleting its reserves by 2001. Having a perfectly good mill, Richmont Mines simply needed more feed. In anticipation of the depletion at Nugget Pond, Richmont acquired the nearby Hammerdown property in March 2000 for $6 million.

Including work performed by Richmont, Hammerdown saw close to 600 drill holes over 63,000 meters.  A trenching program led to the discovery of another deposit in Rumbullion. Hammerdown was subsequently mined between 2001-2004, during which a total of 291,400 tonnes of ore were mined and milled at an average grade of 15.74 g/t Au, recovering a total of 143,000 ounces of gold. Richmont opted to cease production due to low gold prices ($285 per ounce), even with mineralization remaining.

Fast forward to present day, the ore and mill still remain, and Maritime Resources is poised to re-start production and further explore the Green Bay Gold property, which in addition to Hammerdown, is home to three more deposits and over 1 million ounces of gold resources.

Newfoundlands champion moves towards gold production - Green Bay Propety and The Nugget Pond Mill

(Green Bay Property & The Nugget Pond Mill, Source: Corporate Presentation)

Hammerdown – After-Tax NPV of $44.2 Million – Optimization & Exploration Upside Coming

Maritime originally acquired 50% of the Green Bay Property from Commander Resources in 2010 through the issuance of 12 million shares and by spending $750,000 on the property. In 2012, Maritime exercised its option to acquire 100% through the issuance of 5 million more shares.

The Nugget Pond Mill is now owned and operated by Rambler Metals, a company Maritime has an Engineering and Evaluation study agreement with. That agreement includes the First Right for toll milling. It is important to note that Rambler acquired 4.5 million shares of Maritime in February 2012 and owns 12% of the company; it is in the best interest of Rambler to see Maritime to production.

The company recently released a PFS study on Hammerdown, which was headlined by an after-tax IRR of 34.8% and NPV of $44.2 million (producing 35,000 ounces per year for 5 years). The study confirms that Hammerdown is not just viable, but very economic in today’s gold environment. Due to the existing mill, there is low upfront capital and a very short ramp-up to gold production. And since the operation is scheduled to run at 400 tpd over a five-year period, permitting for the re-opening will be straightforward. It will not require Federal Government’s blessing.

Hammerdown currently has 179,400 ounces of gold in reserves, but also has another 376,847 ounces of inferred that can be converted with more drilling. As mentioned earlier, the Green Bay property has three other deposits that will be utilized in the future:

Newfoundlands champion moves towards gold production - Distribution of Gold Deposits

(Orion, Muddy Shag, Hammerdown & Rumbullion, Source: Maritime Resources)

The Rumbullion deposit remains open for at least 800 meters to the northeast, with gold veins exposed and tested on surface. The Hammerdown deposit is faulted-offset to the southwest, and is untested at 500 meters at depth. Lastly, the Orion deposit is dipping to the northeast and has at least 1,500 of untested ground. We believe there can be as much as 1 million ounces in between Orion and Hammerdown, and this exploration upside is just one factor to consider in the valuation of Maritime.

Newfoundlands champion moves towards gold production - Mineral resource estimate for the Green Bay Property table

(Mineral Resource Estimate for the Green Bay Property, Source: PFS)

The value-add in the near-term will be mine optimization. While the PFS validates the profitability of Hammerdown, the consultants, WSP, were overly conservative, using capital costs that only incorporated ~25% of the existing infrastructure built by Richmont.

Newfoundlands champion moves towards gold production - Historic development vs prefeasibility development

(Historic development vs. prefeasibility development, Source: Maritime Resources)

When the mine plug is pulled, Maritime will be able to fully assess how much of the existing substructure is intact. WSP also used pricing for brand new equipment and surface infrastructure – this as well can be significantly improved upon. Lastly, Maritime will be buying back 1% of the 2% NSR on Green Bay (with the exception of production from the Orion deposit) for C$1 million from Commander Resources.  This move will further tighten up economics and generate more value for shareholders.

Proven & Established Veterans Of The Mining Game

Maritime Resources is led by Douglas Fulcher, who brings over 30 years of mining exploration experience. Mr. Fulcher has worked with both junior and senior mining companies, most notably as the President and CEO of Abacus Mining and Exploration from 2003 until 2010, where he was instrumental in the development of the Afton-Ajax project, a copper-gold project located in South Central British Columbia, with an after-tax NPV8 of $215.6 million.

Maritime recently appointed Andrew Pooler as the company’s COO. Mr. Pooler was brought over to manage the prefeasibility study and the development and operations of the Hammerdown project. He brings over 30 years of experience as a mining engineer, his most recent role was the COO of Esperanza Resources, which was acquired by Alamos Gold for $69.4 million in 2013.

Moving Forward – Under The Radar But Not For Long

Maritime Resources currently has $500,000 cash in the treasury, and has allocated $100,000 to the portal, and another $100,000 to the de-watering operation, both scheduled to commence in Q2-3 2017. The company has also engaged Stantec Engineering to complete the EA permitting.

A surface exploration program is in the works that will aim to extend the gold vein system along trend, and to drill some step-outs to test for that treasured blue-sky potential. Nevertheless, the main focus of the campaign will be to prove up the inferred resources so that it can be considered for the inclusion in the optimized mine plan.

Maritime just acquired an option on the Whisker exploration stage property, just a 10 kilometer drive away from Hammerdown. The project exhibits the same high-grade gold encountered at Hammerdown and Orion, including nine grab samples that assayed 13.3 to 30.5 grams per tonne gold with silver values ranging from 11.8 to 37.2 g/t Ag. Maritime plans on exploring Whisker while Hammerdown is in full development.

The PFS estimates a total capital cost of $67.8 million. Once again, we see this number lowering as the mine plan is further enhanced. Opening the portal will reveal a lot, and this will be a significant catalyst for Maritime in the near future. Doug has already been approached by many groups to provide the debt financing for the project. If everything goes according to plan, Hammerdown is expected to commence production within 18 to 24 months.

One qualm investors may have is the longer than expected timeframe it took for the PFS, originally slated for Q4 2016. Speaking with management, this was a misalignment of expectations, as the PFS was revised several times. It included a comprehensive study on the different methods of small vein mining, and a dispersed consultancy team that only added to the schedule creep. As a result, MAE’s share price floundered, even with the confirmed economics.

Maritime Resources’ current share price is C$0.13, with 59.0 million shares outstanding for a market cap of C$7.7 million. We believe there is a strong disconnect between its assets and the current market price. MAE wholly-owns a proven mine and is on the cusp of a re-start. It also enjoys significant potential upside in resources not accounted for in the PFS; blue-sky exploration potential; and likely mine plan optimization. With a clean and tight share structure, we believe Maritime Resources is one of the last development brownies on the platter.

Palisade Global Investments Limited holds shares of Maritime Resources. We receive either monetary or securities compensation for our services. We stand to benefit from any volume this write-up may generate. The information contained in such write-ups is not intended as individual investment advice and is not designed to meet your personal financial situation. Information contained in this report is obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The opinions expressed in this report are those of Palisade Global Investments and are subject to change without notice. The information in this report may become outdated and there is no obligation to update any such information. Do your own due diligence.

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Homo naledi : la datation lui donnerait un âge de 250.000 ans

En 2015, Homo naledi avait défrayé la chronique en 2015 après l’annonce de la découverte de cet hominine qui, bien que d’apparence primitive, était capable d’enterrer ses morts. Les fossiles trouvés pouvaient être âgés de quelques millions d’années, ce qui aurait été stupéfiant. Il semble, à...

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Philippines extends mining ban, now forbids open-pits

The Philippines has toughened up its already hard-core stance on mining by banning open-pit mining in the country to allegedly reduce the environmental damage caused by the industry.

Natural Resources Secretary Regina Lopez, a well-known environmentalist, said her decision aimed to preserve the “economic potential” of the country, as she believes open pits are “a financial liability for government for life," Reuters reported.

Ban only affects planned mines, not the ones currently in operations, but it will take effect immediately.

Lopez, who began auditing all mining operations in the country last year and has already shut more than half them, faces a confirmation hearing in Congress that could lead to her removal as minister due to mounting complaints from pro-mining groups.

But her stance on mining is backed by President Rodrigo Duterte, who — since taken power last year— has made it clear that he wants his country to pursue stricter mining standards. If doing so implies shutting down all operations, Duterte has said he’s willing to do so.

The new ban only affects planned mines, not the ones currently in operations, but it will take effect immediately.

The Southeast Asian nation is the world's top nickel ore supplier, so the months-long crackdown on its mining sector caused prices of the metal to spike, but they have been in decline since February, but concerns over demand from China has kept the metal at a 10-month low this week. They hit a fresh low of to $9,215 a tonne on Thursday, the weakest since June last year.

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Sonde Cassini : premières images de son grand plongeon entre Saturne et ses anneaux

Le premier passage de Cassini entre Saturne et ses anneaux, qui a eu lieu ce 26 avril 2017, est une réussite. La sonde a survécu à ce périple inédit et vient de transmettre ses premières images.

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PotashCorp says expected sector recovery has already begun

Canada’s Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan (TSX, NYSE:POT), the world’s largest producer of the fertilizer by capacity, reported Thursday a higher-than-expected quarterly profit thanks lower costs and increased sales volumes.

The Saskatoon, Saskatchewan-based company expects potash demand to remain strong this year, adding that its 2017 earnings outlook has improved since January on the back of recovering prices, which are finally helping producers turn around their fortunes.

PotashCorp had $149 million of net income in the first quarter, equal to 18 cents per share. That's double the $75 million or nine cents per share in the same quarter last year.

“Potash market fundamentals continued to improve in the first quarter, creating a supportive earnings environment,” PotashCorp President and Chief Executive Officer, Jochen Tilk, said in the statement.

PotashCorp, which reports its results in US dollars, now expects between 45 and 65 cents per share of profit this year, or roughly 25% better than its previous estimate.

Despite the positive tone of today’s release, the fertilizer producer noted first quarter revenue was down 8% at $1.11 billion, but that was offset by higher margins for potash.

The firm kept its forecast for worldwide industry potash shipments of as much as 64 million tonnes for 2017, up from 60 million in 2016. But it increased expectations for the Latin American market and noted that China, the largest buyer, is now seen consuming as much as 15.5 million tonnes.

The company, which expected to complete its $12.8 billion merger with Agrium in mid-2017, was not that optimistic for its two types of crop nutrients as it said conditions remain difficult, with first-quarter sales volumes, prices and margins weaker for both nitrogen and phosphate fertilizers.

A global oversupply of the fertilizer has caused prices to tumble in the last decade, leading to layoffs, mine closures and reduced capacity across the sector as the downward trend became more dramatic in the past two years.

Investors reacted positively to the news, with the stock up 2.8% to Cdn$23.29 in Toronto at 9:37AM EDT, and trading 3% higher in New York to $17.15 at 9:50AM local time.

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Des chercheurs rendent les os d’une souris transparents

Des scientifiques ont trouvé un moyen de rendre des os de souris quasiment invisibles. Cette innovation technique, inappliquable aux organismes vivants, ouvre la possibilité de mieux étudier certaines maladies touchant le squelette humain.

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Vale’s first quarter profit lower than expected as rains hurt iron ore output

Brazil’s Vale (NYSE:VALE), the world’s No.1 iron ore miner, logged Thursday net income for the first quarter that missed estimates, reflecting the impact of heavy rains that hampered output in the so-called northern system, which groups the Carajás, Serra Leste and S11D mines in northern Brazil, as well rising financial expenses.

The Rio de Janeiro-based company reported a net income of $2.5 billion, no less than a billion off an average consensus estimate of $3.325bn in profit.

The miner had already announced a production record in iron ore of 86.2 million tonnes for the January-March period, which it credited to the ramp-up of its massive S11D mine in Pará, and the Itabirito project, in Minas Gerais.

The figure however, was 6.7% lower than total iron ore output of 92.386 million tonnes in the prior three months, as seasonal rainfalls affected production.

Vale also said it had significantly reduced debt from $25 billion to $22.8 billion.

"The company is in a deleverage path and, in the next quarters, we will reach even better results", Luciano Siani Pires, the firm’s  Finance and Investor Relations Executive Director, said in a video posted on Vale’s website.

Despite the profit miss, the company is rewarding its shareholders with a $1.5 billion payment.

More to come…

 

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Multivers : une preuve avec un "trou" géant dans le rayonnement fossile ?

Plusieurs hypothèses ont été proposées pour expliquer l'existence d'une anomalie connue sous le nom de Cold Spot dans la carte du rayonnement fossile. L'une d'elles, qui fait intervenir l'influence de l'énergie noire dans une région pauvre en galaxies, vient d'être...

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Le télescope spatial James-Webb, qui doit remplacer Hubble, sera prêt pour 2018

Pour son futur observatoire spatial James-Webb, qui sera lancé en octobre 2018, la Nasa ne veut pas répéter les erreurs commises avec Hubble, parti dans l'espace avec un miroir déficient, qui avait dû être réparé en orbite. Une telle intervention sera impossible avec le JWST, installé à 1,5...

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Une comète aurait frappé la Terre il y a 13.000 ans, indique une stèle retrouvée

En Turquie, dans un site archéologique très ancien, plus vieux que l’agriculture, des roches sculptées et assemblées défient les archéologues depuis un demi-siècle. Deux chercheurs ajoutent une touche de merveilleux à ces mystères : des dessins représenteraient le ciel, avec des constellations,...

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mercredi 26 avril 2017

Cette larve dévore les plastiques les plus résistants

Une scientifique, qui est aussi apicultrice, a découvert que la larve d’un parasite qui s’attaque à la cire des ruches, est friande des matières plastiques. C’est plutôt une bonne nouvelle pour la lutte contre les déchets en plastique qui pullulent, avec une croissance exponentielle, dans les...

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Copper, lead, zinc prices to stay on the boil

Industrial metals prices are projected to jump 16% this year due to strong demand, especially from China, and supply constraints, including mine disruptions in Chile, Indonesia and Peru, the World Bank says in its commodities markets outlook published on Wednesday.

Researchers at the institution believe zinc has the brightest prospects this year and will follow up 2016's 60% price gain with a 32% jump this year.

The Gamsberg zinc project  in South Africa and Dugald River in Queensland are expected to add new production in 2018

Lead, often a byproduct of zinc mines, will also build on last year's gains and is expected to add 18% in value due to mine supply constraints brought on by permanent closures due to resource exhaustion, as well as discretionary closures and downscaling in Canada, Peru and Australia top zinc miner and trader Glencore.

[Lead] demand remains strong for the battery and industrial sectors, including increasing demand for “stop/start” vehicles, which use batteries containing 25 percent more lead than conventional units. However, lead demand faces threats from a maturing electric bike sector in China and alternate battery technologies (e.g., lithium).

The authors of the report also warn however that zinc-lead fundamentals may change longer term as higher prices "prompt greater supply in China, and Glencore’s idled capacity eventually restarts."

Copper, lead, zinc prices to stay on the boilThe Gamsberg zinc project  in South Africa (240ktpa capacity) and Dugald River in Queensland (170ktpa) are expected to add new production in 2018, "while a slowing property market in China and threats of substitution may ease demand," according to the report.

The outlook is also positive on the price of bellwether metal copper which is expected to increase by 18% boosted by disruptions.  Strikes in Chile and Peru, and contractual disputes in Indonesia recently took more than 10% of global output offline.

Double-digit gains are also expected for aluminum, iron ore, and tin, but the outlook for nickel is murkier.

China is expected to offset the lost volumes from other countries, such as Guatemala and New Caledonia

Nickel prices bucked the general positive trend during the first quarter falling 5% on expectations of renewed low-grade nickel exports from Indonesia due to the partial reversal of that country’s ore export ban:

Thus far the [Indonesian] government has recommended exports of about one-third of the volume sought by the private sector. Meanwhile, in early February the Philippines announced closure of 23 of the country’s 41 mines, and suspension of five others, on environmental grounds. The affected mines account for more than one third of the country’s 2016 nickel production. Because companies can appeal the closures, the potential lost output is uncertain.

China, the main nickel importer, is expected to offset the lost volumes from other countries, such as Guatemala and New Caledonia, as well as sulfide concentrates from the Russian Federation and Zimbabwe.

The World Bank says upside risks to the price forecasts include stronger global demand, slower ramp-up of new capacity, tighter environmental constraints, and policy action that limits exports. Downside risks include slower demand from China and higher-than-expected production, including the restarting of idled capacity.

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Czech mining industry pins hopes of revival on lithium

Coal-rich Czech Republic is hoping to diversify its mining sector by taping into one of the hottest commodities of the decade: lithium.

Demand for the metal, frequently referred to as "white petroleum," is expected to triple by 2025, as it has become an irreplaceable component of rechargeable batteries used in high tech devices and electric cars.

And while global production of the metal grew by 14% last year, that wasn’t enough to meet demand, which caused prices to jump by 74% in December alone, according to London-based Benchmark Minerals Intelligence.

The small and ancient mining village of Cinovec, once famous for its tin and tungsten production, holds Europe’s largest lithium deposit.

Banking on that growing need for lithium, a small ancient mining village, once famous for its tin and tungsten production, is hoping to attract investors to develop a recently found lithium deposit, considered the largest in Europe, Deutsche Welle reported.

Based on data from the Czech Geological Survey, the European country holds between 1.2 to 1.4 million tonnes of lithium, located mostly around the tiny village of Cinovec, on the border with Germany.

One company has already set its eyes on the prize. Australia's European Metals Holdings, or EMH, plans to open a mine in the area, which is expected to produce over 20,000 tonnes of lithium carbonate (the processed ore) a year.

Such amount would place the Czech Republic among the top five lithium producers in the world, the Associated Press reported. Currently, the top producers of the white metal are Australia, Chile, China and Argentina, in that order.

EMH has had an exclusive exploration license and the right to apply for a mining permit since 2014 when it acquired Czech exploration company Geomet, the first one to confirm the presence of lithium in the region.

Czech mining industry pins hopes of revival on lithium

Unlike most other lithium deposits in the world, the one in the Czech Republic is in an area with built-in, working infrastructure, which includes a railroad. It is also conveniently located close to car makers, most of which have launched or are planning to introduce electric vehicles.

The landlocked country could use a windfall brought by a potential lithium industry, as it continues to recover from a recession that hit the country between 2011 and 2013, the nation’s longest-ever.

Prices of lithium carbonate have roughly doubled since 2015, according to analysts at investment bank Liberum. Some fear, however, that a speculative bubble may take shape in the market, with more small-cap miners turning their attention to deposits.

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Des agneaux prématurés ont grandi dans un utérus artificiel, une première

Au cours des dernières décennies, d'importants progrès ont été réalisés pour améliorer la survie des grands prématurés, mais ces bébés très fragiles risquent toujours des complications. Une expérience réalisée sur des agneaux montre l’efficacité d’un dispositif d’utérus artificiel pour...

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Fresnillo silver output up almost 11pct in first quarter, but gold falls

Mexico-focused precious metals miner Fresnillo (LON:FRES) reported Wednesday increased silver output for the three months to the end of March and noted that while gold production fell in the period, it remains on track to meet its full 2017 production guidance.

Silver output rose thanks mainly to the contribution of the first phase of its San Julián mine in Mexico.

Fresnillo, the world's largest primary silver producer and Mexico's second-largest gold miner, said output of the grey precious metal rose by 10.7% compared the same period last year to 13.5 million ounces, thanks mainly to the contribution of the first phase of the San Julián mine, which is considered a cornerstone of the company’s 2018 production goals.

Bullion production, however, was down by 3.3% at 222,300 ounces due to a one-off reduction of inventory levels at its Herradura operation last year as well as expected lower ore grades at the mine.

The London-listed miner said it is on track to achieve 2017 production guidance of 58 million to 61 million ounces of silver and 870,000 to 900,000 ounces of gold. This as it sees demand for gold to remain strong on global geopolitical uncertainty , while a drop of the Mexican peso continues to peso push the miner’s costs lower.

“We continue to focus on maximizing efficiency and productivity across all our mines,” Chief executive Octavio Alvídrez said in the statement.

Shares in the company dropped 1.3%, closing at 1,483.39p in London.

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Firestone Diamonds almost done with ramp-up at flagship mine in Lesotho

Africa-focused Firestone Diamonds (LON:FDI) aims to recover 300,000 carats from its Lesotho mine by the end of the financial year, as commissioning activities at the operation are largely complete and final ramp up is progressing on track.

"While this is below the lower end of previous estimates, the company is very pleased with the increasing grade and recovery rates which put Liqhobong in a strong position ahead of processing the better quality ore in the coming months," it said in a report for the third quarter ended March 31.

The Africa-focused diamond miner aims to recover 300,000 carats from Liqhobong by the end of the financial year.

The company’s chief executive, Stuart Brown, said the final commissioning phase has seen the mine achieve capacity on numerous occasions, which he said it was very positive, particularly during the rainy season.

“We are now starting to move towards the better quality ore areas which will be treated towards the end of the current quarter and l look forward to providing further updates as we complete the final ramp up phase over the coming months,” Brown noted.

Earlier this month, the company announced the recovery of a 110-carat yellow diamond — Firestone’s biggest find so far at its newly developed Liqhobong mine — which confirmed the firm’s belief that the deposit holds large stones.

Firestone spent $185 million building Liqhobong, which started production in October, and boasts over 11 million carats in reserve. The total open pit resource contains over 17 million carats down to 393 metres.

As at March 31, the company had $5 million in cash, excluding proceeds of the second diamond sale of $5.5 million received post quarter end, with a further $15 million available under a standby facility.

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Vidéo : Thomas Pesquet nous fait visiter la Station spatiale en 360 degrés

Dans cette vidéo 360 que nous envoie Thomas Pesquet, vous allez découvrir les coulisses de la Station spatiale internationale, presque comme si vous y étiez. À voir de préférence sur tablette ou smartphone, ou mieux encore avec un casque de réalité virtuelle pour smartphone.

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Avec Wikitribune, le fondateur de Wikipédia s'attaque aux « fake news »

Jimmy Wales, le fondateur de l'encyclopédie en ligne Wikipédia, lance une nouvelle initiative pour combattre les fausses informations (« fake news » en anglais) qui pullulent sur Internet. Avec Wikitribune, il entend réunir des journalistes professionnels et des internautes pour vérifier les...

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BHP puts US shale assets back on the block amid investors pressure

Mining giant BHP Billiton (ASX, NYSE:BHP), (LON:BLT) is once mulling the future of its US-based Fayetteville shale gas assets to focus on more lucrative opportunities in oil, but said decision was not related to activist investor Elliott Management's call earlier this month for an overhaul of the firm.

The company, which last year logged its largest-ever write-down precisely on its US shale assets, first tried selling the Fayetteville operation almost three years ago.

BHP said its gas-rich Fayetteville field in Arkansas was under review, and that it was "considering all options, including divestment."

In a corporate operations review published Wednesday, BHP noted its gas-rich Fayetteville field in Arkansas was under review and that it was now "considering all options, including divestment."

It insisted the decision was unrelated to Elliott Management's call to unlock shareholder value by spinning off about $22 billion of its US oil assets and list them in New York.

The Melbourne, Australia-based mining giant also said that the divestment of 50,000 acres of “non-core” fields in the ­separate Hawkville region was well advanced.

BHP provided fresh evidence of its drive to focus on oil as one of its main pillars of growth. During the nine months to March 31 2017, it invested $2.2 billion for the development of the Mad Dog Phase 2 project in the Gulf of Mexico and fully commissioned the Bass Strait Longford Conditioning Plant, enabling full production from the Turrum and Kipper fields in Victoria.

Copper, iron ore output down

As expected, BHP’s copper output dropped significantly in the three months to March compared with the same quarter a year earlier, following a lengthy strike at its Escondida mine in Chile, the world’s largest.

Production of the red metal fell by 44%, said the company, which has cut its full-year forecast by up to 290,000 tonnes as a result.

Disruptions to iron ore shipments caused by Cyclone Debbie in the Australian state of Queensland, forced the firm to cut production guidance for coking coal — a key ingredient in steelmaking — to 39m-41m tonnes, from 44m tonnes.

BHP also narrowed its iron ore guidance to 231m-234m tonnes, from 228m-237m tonnes. It said record production at its iron ore mines in Western Australia in the first nine months of 2017 was partially offset by wet weather in the March quarter.

“Everything we do at BHP Billiton is designed to create value for all of our shareholders, today and for the long term,” BHP chief Andrew Mackenzie said.

“We have fundamentally restructured BHP Billiton to increase returns … but we have more to do and we are not standing still.”

Shares in BHP closed 0.6% higher on Wednesday in Sydney at A$24.08, but were down 1.28% to 1,191.50p in London mid-afternoon.

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Sonde Cassini : le grand plongeon entre Saturne et ses anneaux, c’est maintenant

À quatre mois et demi de la fin de sa mission, Cassini entame ce 26 avril le premier plongeon d’une série de 22, entre Saturne et ses anneaux. Une première ! Jamais la sonde, qui explore la géante gazeuse et ses lunes depuis 13 ans, n’est passée si près de la planète. Cela promet des vues...

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L'Homme de Florès, dit le Hobbit, serait bien plus ancien qu'on ne le pensait

Une nouvelle étude sur ces humains minuscules découverts sur l’île de Florès, en Indonésie, et qui y ont vécu jusqu’à il y a environ 50.000 ans, apporte un nouvel éclairage. Selon ses auteurs, Homo floresiensis n’est pas un cousin d’Homo erectus, et encore moins un Homo sapiens malade. Le petit...

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Énigme au LHC : des collisions de protons vraiment trop étranges

Des collisions de protons produisent des particules étranges, au sens propre comme au figuré, qui surprennent beaucoup les théoriciens de la physique des hadrons. Ce phénomène n'était connu jusqu'à présent que lors de collisions d'ions lourds conduisant à la formation du plasma de quarks et de...

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mardi 25 avril 2017

Le syndrome de la tête qui explose, un trouble méconnu

Ce syndrome au nom effrayant est peu connu et pourtant courant : il consiste à se réveiller en sursaut dans la nuit en ayant entendu un bruit fort, comme un objet tombant brutalement par terre, ou parfois en ayant vu un éclair de lumière.

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Gold stocks sell off – Barrick drops 11%

After hitting five month highs last week, gold was pushed lower again on Tuesday as investors rotate out of safe haven assets and into riskier equities with the tech-laden Nasdaq market in New York hitting record highs.

Gold for delivery in June, the most active contract on the Comex market in New York, slumped to a low of $1,262.80 an ounce in early afternoon trade, a percentage point lower than Monday's close and a two-week low.

The sell-off in gold stocks was more severe led by Barrick Gold Corp (NYSE:ABX, TSE:ABX) which was hammered down 11.2%  after reporting first quarter earnings that came in below expectations. Barrick is now worth $19.5 billion in New York, trading at levels last seen in January.

Barrick, the world's largest gold miner in terms of output, slashed its guidance for the year due to ongoing problems at its Veladero mine in Argentina. Barricks' full-year gold production is now expected to be 5.3–5.6 million ounces, down from its previous range of 5.6–5.9 million ounces.

Barrick expects normal operations at Veladero to resume in June pending government approval and the lifting of judicial restrictions imposed by the South American nation after a cyanide solution spill at the property

The company also sold a 50% stake in Veladero for $960 million to China's Shandong Gold and the transaction constitutes roughly two-thirds of its lowered output guidance. Barrick expects normal operations at Veladero to resume in June pending government approval and the lifting of judicial restrictions imposed by the South American nation after a cyanide solution spill at the property.

Losses at Newmont Mining Corp (NYSE:NEM) were more modest with the counter losing 2.7% for a market capitalization of $17.2 billion. Denver-based Newmont announced yesterday that it grew production by 9% in the first quarter to 1.23 million ounces.

Newmont approved the Subika Underground and Ahafo mill expansion projects in Ghana during the first quarter, which is expected to improve volumes beginning in 2018. Newmont is retaining its guidance for this year at between 4.9m – 5.4 million and the company upped its longer term output forecast to 4.7m – 5.2m.

It's been a busy Q1 for Newmont, the company also announced agreement to secure rights to develop a prospective new gold district in the Yukon with Goldstrike Resources. The company said it is on track for commercial production at the Tanami Expansion Project in Australia mid-2017.

The world's third largest gold producer behind Newmont, AngloGold Ashanti (NYSE:AU) slid 1.4% in Tuesday. The company's ADRs are worth $4.6 billion in New York and is just holding onto double digit gains so far in 2107. Johannesburg-based Anglogold reported an 8% decrease in annual production to 3.6m ounces in 2016.

Earlier in April the company indicated it may revive its Obuasi mine in Ghana on care and maintenance since the end of 2014. AngloGold lifted a force majeure on Obuasi in February after the removal of thousands of illegal miners by Ghanian security forces. Obuasi is the world's 17th largest gold deposit with resources of more than 27m ounces and reserves grading an eye-popping 7 grams gold per tonne.

Goldcorp (NYSE:GG TSE:G) shares dropped more than 3% shaving the value of the Vancouver-based company to just under $12 billion in New York. World number four producer Goldcorp recorded a steep drop in production last year of 17% or nearly 600,000 ounces and will release its first quarter results tomorrow.

The world's number five gold producer with 2.8m ounces last year, Kinross Gold (NYSE:KGC, TSX:K) was one of the hardest hit on Tuesday losing 6.8%. Toronto-based Kinross is now worth $4.2 billion on the NYSE after a 25% decline over the past year.

 

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Freeport shares off to the races on Grasberg update

Shares in Freeport McMoRan Inc (NYSE:FCX), the world's second largest copper producer, raced out of the gate on Tuesday after the company released first quarter results that showed less damage from problems at its Indonesian operations than previously anticipated.

In heavy trade of more than 29m shares by lunchtime Freeport jumped by as much 9.3% affording the counter a $18.98 billion market value and erasing its 2017 losses on the New York Stock Exchange.

Phoenix Arizona-based Freeport achieved first quarter sales of 809 million pounds (367,000 tonnes) of copper and 182,000 ounces of gold, well below its January forecast of 1 billion pounds of copper and 460,000 ounces of gold as Indonesian sales fell by 30%.

Freeport's has been mining at Grasberg since the early 1970s and currently owns just over 90% of the local subsidiary operating the mine

Freeport's Grasberg mine only resumed concentrate exports on Friday following a ban imposed by the Indonesian government in January amid a dispute over ownership, taxation, and operating conditions at the iconic mine in the remote Papua province.  Operations where also hit by a 38-day strike at a domestic refinery in which the US company owns a minority stake.

Freeport's has been mining at Grasberg since the early 1970s and currently owns just over 90% of the local subsidiary operating the mine. Freeport has been in negotiations to sell down its stake to below 50% for years as per new mining laws instituted by Jakarta, but talks have repeatedly broken down over valuation.

The concentrate ban – an effort by Indonesia to force foreign miners to build refineries inside the country – will be reimposed after six months should the parties not come to an agreement. Freeport Indonesia has suspended capital investments at Grasberg delaying production from a new underground mine to replace output from the open pit expected to be depleted by next year.

To complicate matters further Rio Tinto has an option dating back to 1995 for a 40% stake in the project that it can exercise in 2023 when the new block cave operation should be operating at capacity.

Freeport said it expects capital expenditures for 2017 of some $1.6 billion, including $700m for underground development activities for the remainder of 2017, which the company says are dependent on a resolution regarding "long-term operating rights" in Indonesia.

For 2017, Freeport expects sales of some 3.9 billion pounds (1.77m tonnes) of copper and 1.9 million ounces of gold. Last year Freeport produced 1.7m tonnes of copper behind Chile's state-owned Codelco which produced 1.83m tonnes.

 

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Sibanye Gold investors OK $2.2bn acquisition of Stillwater

Investors at Sibanye Gold (JSE:SGL) (NYSE:SBGL), South Africa’s largest miner producer of the precious metal, have given the firm their thumbs up to proceed with the $2.2 billion acquisition of Stillwater Mining (NYSE:SWC), the only US platinum producer.

Cash takeover will make of Sibanye the world's third largest palladium producer and fourth biggest platinum group metals miner.

The cash takeover, first announced in December, will increase South Africa's grip over global platinum and palladium supply and underline chief executive Neal Froneman's determination to branch out of gold mining and the firm’s home country.

Froneman thanked shareholders for supporting what he described as a “unique and transformative opportunity to acquire world class, low-cost international PGM assets”.

The Johannesburg-listed company, which was spun out of South Africa’s Gold Fields in 2013, spent most of last year shopping for new mines, particularly in the platinum sector.

The company first expanded into the grey precious metal used in jewellery and diesel car engines in Sep. 2015, by buying Aquarius Platinum and three Anglo American Platinum mines.

Together with reducing Sibanye’s dependence on its aging South African mines, the deal will make the company the world's third largest palladium producer and fourth biggest platinum group metals miner, Froneman said in December when announcing the planned acquisition.

Once completed, the deal will be the second-biggest South African outbound M&A transaction since 2015.

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Kitty Hawk Flyer, la « moto volante » financée par le patron de Google

La jeune entreprise Kitty Hawk, soutenue financièrement par Larry Page, cofondateur et PDG de Google, vient de lever le voile sur un prototype d'avion électrique ultraléger pour voler au-dessus de l'eau. L'engin ne nécessite pas de permis de pilotage (aux États-Unis) et se maîtrise en...

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Iron ore to slide below $46 a tonne by 2021 — analysts

The rally in iron ore prices that saw the commodity climbing near $100 a tonne earlier this year will likely be the highest mark seaborne will reach for at least the next five years, a new report published Tuesday shows.

According to BMI Research, prices will continue to slide for at least the next half decade, averaging lower each year through to 2021. The forecasters expect the commodity to drop to $70 a tonne this year, $55 in 2018, and decline to $46 by 2021, on rising supplies from Australia and Brazil and expectations for a surplus.

BMI Research expects the commodity to drop to $70 a tonne this year, $55 in 2018, and decline to $46 by 2021.

Major producers, backed by low costs, will continue to boost output and so drag prices down, the research arm of Fitch Group said in the report.

After peaking in mid-February, the steelmaking raw material fell into a bear market earlier this month as steel prices drooped and warnings about oversupply reappeared on the back fresh output coming from recently opened mines, such as Roy Hill in Australia, as well as Anglo American’s Minas Rio and Vale’s S11D in Brazil.

Last year, ore with 62% content in the port of Qingdao climber over 80%, extending the rally into 2017 to hit $94.86 in February, the highest price since 2014, according to the Metal Bulletin. It then began a painful and abrupt downward trend, falling 12% last month and continuing to drop in April. On Tuesday, the commodity lost another 46 cents to trade $66.07 a tonne.

Iron ore to slide below $46 a tonne by 2021 — analysts

The knock-on effect on the market value of the world's top iron ore miners has not been minor, with world number four, Australia's Fortescue Metals Group (ASX:FMG), a pure play iron ore producer, hardest hit. FMG stock has about 15% of its value over the last month and the Perth-based firm is now worth US$16.53 billion on the ASX following a 2.6% drop in Tuesday trading.

World number one Vale (NYSE:VALE) is down almost 6% over the same period, while diversified giants Rio Tinto (ASX, LON:RIO) and BHP Billiton (ASX:BHP) have also seen their value shrink since mid-March.

Several forecasters and banks had long warned the rally was not sustainable.

Several forecasters and banks had long warned the rally was not sustainable. Last week, Macquarie added to the gloomy sentiment by predicting that iron ore would continue to decline until finding support at around $50 a tonne, implying that falls of a further 20% were in store.

But not everyone is that pessimistic. For some, such as Stan Wholley, president for the Americas at CSA Global, the current downtrend is nothing but an expected correction. “I think people got exuberant about iron ore on the way up and we are seeing a bit of reality check right now,” he recently told MINING.com.

“There is not a great deal that can be done about the new supply — it will happen. However, there are indications that stockpiles in China are decreasing (albeit from record highs) which may slow or even halt the decline,” he noted.

Iron ore to slide below $46 a tonne by 2021 — analysts

While the analyst sees the commodity trading at a $50 to $70 a tonne range in the short term, he says fundamentals remain sound.

“There will be a focus on higher quality ores over the next few years as new supply comes in, but that is how it should be, and this will mean producers with lower quality ores will feel the pinch as buyers seek a discount,” Wholley warns.

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Caterpillar soars as first quarter sales jump for first time in over two years

Shares in world’s largest heavy machinery maker Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) jumped Tuesday as it reported a first quarter profit that far exceeded estimates thanks to a long-awaited pick up in sales and improved demand.

For the first time in more than two years, the Peoria, Illinois-based company registered an increase in sales in several of the industries it serves, which boosted its revenue and profit forecasts for the year.

Despite the improved sales and revenue outlook for 2017, Caterpillar continues to see uncertainty across the globe, potential for volatility in commodity prices and weakness in key markets.

The news sent CAT’s stock up more than 6% to $102.78 in premarket trading in New York. If such gain holds during the day, the equipment maker alone will add 40 points to the Dow Jones industrial index for the day.

"Our team delivered outstanding operational performance and, for the first time in more than two years, same quarter sales and revenues increased," chief executive Jim Umpleby said in a statement. "We're also benefiting from our significant cost reduction and restructuring actions, which have improved cash flow and further strengthened an already healthy balance sheet."

Caterpillar said it now expects 2017 adjusted earnings of $3.75 per share, up from the $2.90 it had previously forecast. But first quarter earnings per share fell to 32 cents from 46 cents per share a year earlier.

In the first three months of the year CAT’s sales and revenues reached $9.8 billion, compared with $9.5 billion it logged a year earlier. The firm also raised its forecast of full year sales and revenues to a range of $38bn to $41bn, up from $36bn to $39bn previously forecast.

The executive noted that despite the improved sales and revenue outlook for 2017, the company said it continues to see uncertainty across the globe, potential for volatility in commodity prices and weakness in key markets.

Caterpillar’s performance is often seen as a gauge of the health of the global economy, as its machines are huge, expensive, and used in different kinds of projects to which companies and governments are only likely to commit if they're confident in the economic outlook and their financial standing.

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Après la grève en Guyane, Arianespace va reprendre les lancements

La grève en Guyane qui a paralysée les trois lanceurs d’Arianespace s’est achevée ce week-end. Elle lui aura coûté jusqu’à 500.000 euros par jour. Cependant la société n’a pas perdu de clients ni de contrats de lancement. Dans quelques jours, les trois campagnes de lancement suspendues vont...

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Top 5 des thés les plus bus dans le monde

Le thé est la boisson la plus populaire dans le monde. Il n’y a pas un, mais des thés. Voici cinq variétés sélectionnées parmi celles qui sont les plus couramment consommées.

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Exobiologie : l'expérience de Miller produit en plus les bases de l'ARN... grâce aux astéroïdes

Les astéroïdes ont-ils aidé la vie à naître sur Terre ? C'est ce que suggère une récente variante de la fameuse expérience de Stanley Miller et Harold Urey. Soumise à des éclairs et ionisée par les ondes de choc de ces impacts, l'atmosphère de la Terre primitive a peut-être synthétisé en réponse...

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Quand le climat se refroidit, les espèces semblent évoluer plus vite

À l’aide d’un nouveau modèle d’évolution phénotypique, des chercheurs ont évalué, sur une période de 80 millions d’années, l’évolution de la taille de mammifères et oiseaux en fonction de la température. Contre toute attente, ils ont constaté que le taux d’évolution de la masse corporelle des...

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lundi 24 avril 2017

Barrick shares hammered after slashing production guidance

Shares in Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:ABX)(TSX:ABX) were marked down in after hours trade on Monday after the company reported first quarter results that came in below expectations and slashed its outlook for the year.

In late dealings Barrick fell 3.6% after reporting earnings per share of $0.14 and revenues of $1.99 billion, both measures missing analysts forecasts. The Toronto-based company is now worth $22.2 billion in New York.

Barricks' full-year gold production is now expected to be 5.3–5.6 million ounces

Barrick produced 1.31 million ounces of gold in the first quarter at a cost of sales of $833 per ounce, up from 1.28 million ounces at a cost of sales of $810 per ounce in the prior-year period. All in costs rose nearly 10% to $772 from the same period last year.

Barrick, the world's largest gold miner in terms of output, slashed its guidance for the year due to ongoing problems at its Veladero mine in Argentina. Barricks' full-year gold production is now expected to be 5.3–5.6 million ounces, down from its previous range of 5.6–5.9 million ounces.

The company also sold a 50% stake in Veladero to China's Shandong Gold which its says constitutes roughly two-thirds of its output cuts. Barrick expects normal production at Veladero would resume in June following an pending government approval and the lifting of judicial restrictions imposed by the South American nation after a cyanide solution spill at the property.

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Newmont lifts gold production by 9%

World number two gold producer Newmont Mining  (NYSE: NEM) announced first quarter 2017 results on Monday that show adjusted net income of $133 million or $0.25 per diluted share and a 20% jump in year on year earnings to $566 million.

The Denver-based company increased net operating cash flow from continuing operations to $379 million and free cash flow to $199 million, up $322 million from the prior year quarter helping the company reduce net debt to $1.7 billion, ending the quarter with $2.9 billion cash on hand.

The Subika Underground mine will produce 1.8 million ounces of gold over an 11-year mine life, and access ore grades that are three times higher than Newmont's surface mines

Attributable production expanded by 9% to 1.23 million ounces. Production from Merian and Long Canyon more than offset geotechnical issues at Carlin according to the company while exceptional weather also affected operations in Australia and South America.

Reported cash costs was in accordance with previous guidance of $687 per ounce while all-in sustaining costs (AISC) came in at $900 per ounce. Last year Newmont produced 4.9m ounces of gold, a 6% increase over 2015, at an all in cost of $912 per ounce.

Newmont approved the Subika Underground and Ahafo Mill Expansion projects in Ghana during the first quarter, which is expected to improve volumes beginning in 2018, improve costs beginning in 2020, with additional development capital in 2017-2019.

It's been a busy Q1 for Newmont, the company also announced agreement to secure rights to develop a prospective new gold district in the Yukon with Goldstrike Resources. The company also said it is on track for commercial production at the Tanami Expansion Project in Australia mid-2017.

"We generated strong financial results this quarter and approved plans to invest in profitable growth in Ghana and a prospective gold district in the Yukon,” said Gary Goldberg, President and Chief Executive Officer:

“We increased free cash flow by more than $320 million and adjusted EBITDA by 20 percent to $566 million compared to the prior year quarter. Our teams in Australia and South America overcame significant weather events safely and efficiently and we remain well on track to meet our 2017 outlook. Permits, funding and resources are in place to build the Subika Underground mine – which will produce 1.8 million ounces of gold over an 11-year mine life, and access ore grades that are three times higher than our surface mines – and the Ahafo Mill Expansion. Our cost and capital discipline, combined with our industry-leading balance sheet, gives us the means to continue self-funding projects, growing margins and improving the quality and life of our Reserves, with a goal to deliver sustainable value for our shareholders.”

Shares in Newmont fell just over 1% during regular trading hours in New York on Monday and was trending lower in after hours dealings amid weakness in the gold price. Newmont stock is worth $18.2 billion after gaining 8% in value over the past year.

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Hey Watson! Is there gold in them thar hills?

All the easy digging has been done. All the richest seams have been mined. All the big discoveries have been made.

It’s become something of a cliché in mining to pine for the good ole days of rivers of gold, oceans of diamonds and mountains of copper (as if that ever existed).

But that ignores the enormous technological strides that the mining and exploration industry has made – mostly in the interest of efficiency and cost-cutting, but also for discovery.

Advanced technology is being deployed across the industry. From remote management of mines from 1000s of kms away using autonomous trucks and trains, equipment monitoring every tiny detail of plants and processes in real time, widespread automation and mechanization to sampling, detection, imaging and surveying systems. And drones; did I mention drones.

All of this produces data. Tonnes and tonnes of it.

Goldcorp’s first task for Watson is extending Red Lake's life

Last month Vancouver-based Goldcorp took a technological leap becoming the first company in the sector to go public about its intentions to harness artificial intelligence to mine all this data.

AI is a buzzword that is bandied about with too much abandon these days and tech firms' marketing departments often use AI to describe nothing more than fancy software or clever algorithms.

Goldcorp is partnering with IBM, one of the pioneers in the field, and the New York-based tech giant prefers to call it cognitive computing. IBM created the stand-alone division in 2014 built around its Watson system.

IBM, seeing its traditional business lines come under pressure from cloud computing, is betting big on Watson. Watson has been expanded from a “thinking supercomputer” famously beating human contestants on the TV quiz show Jeopardy to a data analytics and machine learning system. Watson is being applied across a range of industries – anything from fashion to oncology to non-profit fundraising. And now finding gold ore.

Mark Fawcett, a partner with IBM Global Business Services, tells MINING.com that Watson could be deployed at Goldcorp to perform a number of functions including mine planning, optimizing operational performance and sharpening takeover strategies for the acquisitive company.

IBM and Goldcorp Team to Bring Watson to the Mines

Red Lake: Image: CNW Group/IBM Canada

In the end, Goldcorp, the world’s fourth largest gold mining company by output, chose to send Watson and IBM’s data scientists to its Red Lake mine in Ontario.

Goldcorp’s first task for Watson is extending Red Lake's life as the high-grade deposit is set to be depleted by the end of the decade. Exploration is now focused on the Cochenour and HG Young projects in the historic district with a pre-feasbility study for the former expected before the end of the year.

Fawcett stresses that Watson is not a computer program or just a data crunching machine, but a training system. Watson will tap Goldcorp's institutional knowledge and learn how to think like a geologist, analyzing millions of core samples, assays, geological models, drillhole data sets, maps, seismic surveys and geological data.

While a company’s experts train Watson to think like an engineer, Watson would teach them “how to think like a thousand engineers”

Dariusz Piotrowski, IBM Development Leader for Natural Resources Industries emphasizes the communal nature of the system. While a company’s experts train Watson to think like an engineer, Watson would teach them “how to think like a thousand engineers” by synthesizing the different viewpoints and biases of its human trainers or making visible blind spots in analysis.

The learning process never stops says Fawcett. Watson leverages Goldcorp engineers and geologists’ collective knowledge, but can also “unlearn” bad or outdated information and reprogram itself based on new discoveries and new ways of interpreting data.

Watson is there to augment not replace geologists and like any geologist would have to explain how it came to its conclusions. While Watson can speed up discovery and narrow down the options, final decisions will always be up to the humans, say Fawcett. (Phew…)

There are caveats. While the system has the ability to clean up data and appraise the integrity of data, Watson is subject to being trained incorrectly. Or it can be trained with incomplete or inadequate data.

For all its human qualities, Watson may never catch gold fever

Piotrowski could not be drawn on the financial details of the agreement with Goldcorp, but says IBM’s philosophy is different from other companies in the field, with all data and knowledge owned by clients like Goldcorp rather than IBM.

Watson has some experience with exploration – Spanish oil giant Repsol was an early adopter of the technology and signed up with IBM back in 2014 to develop applications in what was a $15–$20m deal at the time. Repsol made headlines last month with what is considered the largest onshore oil field discovery in the US in over three decades. The Alaska North Slope find is pegged at 1.2 billion barrels of crude.

Australia’s Woodside is also a longtime Watson user and the offshore company has taken the technology to another level with the creation of an avatar called Willow which enables the company’s geologists and engineers to interact with the system using natural language.

Understanding natural language is one of Watson’s biggest selling points. My question whether you can ask Watson: “Where is the gold?” and then everybody grabs a shovel and start digging elicited smiles, but Piotrowski is quick to add that yes, ultimately that is the goal.

Although we’re a long way away from it.

And for humans employed in the quest to find and mine gold, that may not be such a bad thing.

After all, for all its human qualities, Watson may never catch gold fever.

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